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2008 NBA Playoffs – First Round Preview

Wednesday, April 16th, 2008

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The time has come for the most intense and entertaining annual 2 months in professional sports – the NBA playoffs. This year we have around 10 teams who could legitimately end up in the NBA finals! Drama is higher than its even been, hype is not something that we will need TNT and ESPN to fabricate, and its set to be the most entertaining Playoffs in recent memory. Let’s have a look at what’s on the agenda shall we?!

WESTERN CONFERENCE

(1)LA Lakers vs (8) Denver

On paper, the Denver nuggets might just be the most talented team in the NBA. You have Allen Iverson and Carmelo Anthony who are two true superstars and actual All-Star starters this year. You have Marcus Camby the reigning defensive player of the year, along with Kenyon Martin who is getting back into his old scary self that earned him the first overall pick by the Nets some years ago. Then off the bench Linus Kleiza and J.R. Smith are two of the most high octane scorers period, forget the fact that they are coming off the bench. Nene at his peak can destroy just about any power forward in the league, and Najara could just be the most energetic/rugged player in the League. Yes, on paper they are THAT good. However, on the other side we have a man by the name of Kobe Bryant, who is capable of destroying 2 superstars, defensive beasts, energetic benches all by himself. This year however he won’t really have to, as Odom is playing the best basketball in his life, and Gasol has fit perfectly into the triangle offense. If the 3 point specialists Vujacic, Radmanovic, and Farmar start getting hot from beyond the perimeter, this could be a short series. But if the Lakers dont bring their A game, the Denver just have enough firepower to give Jack Nicholson a heartbreak or 4.

(2) New Orleans Hornets vs (7) Dallas Mavericks

If there has ever been a season where a Number 7 seed is considered a favorite over the 2 seed, then this has to be it. Let’s not forget Dallas are coming off a 67 win season, and they actually got better by adding a true Playoff veteran in Jason Kidd. New Orleans on the other hand have been the surprise team this year and have led the Western Conference for longer than any other team. However, everyone continues to doubt whether this team is for real and whether they have enough playoff experience to win a series. Their poor form at the end of the season sure didn’t help comfort critics, but with perhaps the MVP, the coach of the year, and the best player you never heard of (David West) – they can go on to win the Championship and no one could feel too surprised. They have, afterall, favorable season records against almost all top teams in the NBA.

(3) San Antonio Spurs vs (6) Phoenix Suns

Last year these 2 powerhouses met in the 2nd round of the playoffs, and everyone thought it was a early final. This year their clash has been pushed all the way up to the first round in what must be the two strongest teams to ever meet in the first round of the playoffs. You have San Antonio on the one hand which are the only dynasty since Jordan‘s Bulls and are the team to beat year after year. On the other side you got the Phoenix Suns who have 2 former MVP players (Nash and Shaq), a future MVP player (Amare), a one time ‘the next MJ’ player (Grant Hill), the 2nd best bench player (Barbosa) and perimeter defender in the league (Bell). And one of these two teams will be knocked out in the first round, holy crap! Oh and I didn’t even mention the bloodbath of a series these two teams had last year where there were broken noses, below the belt trashtalk, controversial suspensions, refing scandals, and an all out war on the court. I’d be surprised if this series doesn’t end in the 3rd overtime of the 7th game, with enough drama to make any Brazilian soap look tame in comparison.

(4) Utah Jazz vs (5) Houston Rockets

This is suppose to be the ‘boring’ series of the first round out in the Wild wild west – but I’ll assure you right here it’s not going to be boring…not one bit. If you are into UFC type fights, then you’re sure going to enjoy watching these two defensive minded and tough nosed teams beat the living crap out of each other. Of course, this is the NBA playoffs and the hype doesn’t end there. Last year these two teams met and Utah ended up upsetting Houston on its own floor in the decisive Game 7. This year despite Houston being the 5th seed they still have homecourt advantage due to a better record, and will need every one of their horde of Chinese fans to give them a lift… or perhaps burn down Carlos Boozer’s house. Without Yao Ming, the pressure lies on T-Macs shoulders to finally lift one of his teams past the first round. Last year he guaranteed victory and ended up crying in front of the press after the game 7 loss…this year he might totally Lose Weight Exercise/”>Lose Weight Exercise it.

EASTERN CONFERENCE

(1) Boston Celtics vs (8) Atlanta Hawks 

The best team in the NBA probably isn’t fearing an 8th seed in the weak East who couldn’t even manage to achieve a .500 record, but they should sure not take them lightly. The Atlanta Hawks, more so than the Toronto Raptors and Philadelphia 76ers who are seeded higher, have a legit chance to upset the heavily favored Celtics. Why you ask? Their team is so athletic you could send them to the Olympics this Summer and rest assured they will come back with a handful of medals. Joe Johnson on a good day can be a poor-man’s Kobe Bryant, Mike Bibby a poor-man’s Steve Nash, Al Hornton a poor-man’s Dwight Howard… So you can imagine if things start clicking, the Hawks can become dangerous fast! If they don’t elevate their game however, this is gonna be a relaxed fall season front yard sweep.

(2) Detroit Pistons vs (7) Philadelphia 76ers 

I’ll admit, I never expected to see the numbers 76 being mentioned this post-season next to the Detroit Pistons other than what they are likely going to concede per game against their first round opponent. Moving swiftly along, the Detroit Pistons are one team that likes playing against important teams and elevate their game when they do so. Last year they were the most impressive looking team in the playoffs until they bumped heads with the puny Cavaliers and seemed to have lost any form of motivation. The 76ers sure aren’t likely to get Rasheed fired up, and this could cost them big as the 76ers have shown that they can beat the top teams when they are in full flow with their high-flying and lightning quick young players.

(3) Orlando Magic vs (6) Toronto Raptors 

The Orlando Magic really haven’t got much attention this year even since their hot start to the season. No one expects them to win the East and a Toronto upset would in fact not be so upsetting. They have the pieces to make a run out in the East – Dwight Howard is the most dominant big man in the league today, Hedo Turkoglu can elevate his game to become a mix of Dirk Nowitzki and Kobe Bryant at times (no kidding!), and Rashard Lewis is able to light it up when the stage is big. Toronto is a really balanced team that will need Chris Bosh to be a superstar, and with Dwight Howard clogging the middle this will be a true test of what he is about…if you ask me, its ImBoshible.

(4) Cleveland Cavaliers vs (5) Washington Wizards 

Last but most certainly not least, is my personal favorite matchup of the first round. Woww, where do I start? How about 2 seasons ago, when LeBron and Arenas had the most competitive rivalry in a playoff series in a long time. 40 points, 50 points, game winners, they were coming left and right each and every game. The Cavs ended up beating the Wizards after LeBron talked smack to Arenas during crucial freethrows which he ended up missing. I imagine those freethrows still haunt Gilbert to this day. Last year they met again, but the Cavs ended up making minced meat out of the Wizards after Caron Butler and Arenas had season ending injuries. This year the hype and rivalry has not died down one bit. DeShawn Stevenson and LeBron James ended up exchanging quite a couple words in their final head to head game of the season which DeShawn and the Wizards ended up winning. Stevenson said after the game that LeBron was overrated which escalated all the way into their rivalry being compared to a Soulja Boy vs Jay-Z rap beef. While everyone expects the Cavs to give the Celtics a serious run for their money in the second round, I believe the only way they will be able to do that is by wagering on the Washington Wizards…if you catch my drift.

 

Predictions for the First Round

 

Lakers over Denver in 5

Dallas over New Orleans in 7

Phoenix over San Antonio in 6

Utah over Houston in 5

 

Boston over Atlanta in 4

Detroit over Philadelphia in 4

Orlando over Toronto in 7

Washington over Cleveland in 7

  

Chris Paul no match for Kobe Bryant

Monday, April 14th, 2008

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It’s ridiculous to think that the award for the league’s most valuable player during an 82 game season can actually come down to one single game. Yet that was the case on Friday night, as Chris Paul’s Hornets took on Kobe Bryant’s Lakers in what everyone believe to be the game that would decide the winner of this years most valuable player. Sitting at home watching,  I was indeed engulfed in the hype that had so succesfully billed this game as the most important game of the season. Truth be told, before I started watching I really wasn’t convinced that one single game should or could determine anything, let alone the most coveted individual prize in all of basketball…But as the minutes passed and both players displayed exactly what they had to offer on the grandstage – it was then that it became clear that this game would indeed seperate the two, but not exactly in the way everyone had envisioned.

Most people that watched the game will have taken the 15 points 17assists 6 rebounds by Paul, and the 29points 10assists 8rebounds and the W for Kobe and given the slight edge to Kobe Bryant on the track towards the MVP award. Yet, if anyone watched cLose Weight Exercise/”>Lose Weight Exercisely enough, it should have been really easy to see that these two players that everyone has placed in a deadlock in terms of value…are in fact not worthy to be mentioned in the same breath.

The New Orleans Hornets this year, just like the Phoenix Suns of years past, are a team built around the point guard position. Stojakovic and Peterson are two of the deadliest shooters of our generation. Tyson Chandler is a player that can’t create anything for himself and will only score if a player creates a dunk opportunity for him. So when 3 out of 5 of your starters absolutely need the point guard to create something for them to be succesful – you can see why Paul has so many assists and has established himself as one of the frontrunners for this years MVP. However, this is also exactly the reason why he is totally out of his league when being compared to a player like Kobe or LeBron. Chris Paul has been handed over the ideal team for his skillset. He controls the ball 90% of the possesion and everything goes through him. So while Paul has done a tremendous job with this huge responsibility, he hasn’t exactly proved on a consistent basis that he can take over a game like Kobe, or make defenders look overmatched like LeBron, or control the defensive end of the floor like Kevin Garnett. Paul, if you will, is a one trick pony. He goes around screens, penetrates, and creates havoc around the paint area and as a result of the gifted shooters around him, the pogo stick known as Tyson Chandler, or the scoring machine David West – collects dimes faster than your local arcade. If the MVP award was solely based how much importance you have to your own team, then Paul would probably be have to be given the award…despite his replacement Pargo being more than capable of running the offense and even being more dangerous than Paul on some occasions.

However, the award is the league’s most valuable player, not a team’s. If you dont understand the logic, imagine a team with all guards and players under 6 foot 3. Except there is one center, and you can imagine that under these conditions this player will collect 15+rebounds, and be by far the most important player on the team and more valuable to his team than any other player is to his own team. Should this player get the MVP? No, I certainly hope not.

 Let’s take a look at Kobe for a second. He is able to draw double teams on a consistent basis and ends up creating the space and time for his teammates much like Chris Paul..without even having to move a single step. The defense is always playing catchup when 3 players have to guard 4, and this is an advantage that won’t show up on the stats sheets, but it is far more valuable than any statistic could suggest. So Kobe is easily able to play the facilitator role that Paul is admired for, and if he was to have the ball in his hands the whole time like Paul, you can be sure he would be averaging 10+assists. Yet, this aspect of Kobe’s game is only a fraction of what he is about. His ability to score at will, his defensive presence, his post up game, his 3 point game, his morale breaking plays and demeanor, his clutch ability…all of this is impressive, and the fact that he can do any one at anytime depending on his team, the score, the situation, the matchups…is what ultimately elevates him to a level that Paul will persevere to match throughout his career.

 Kobe has played alongside a dominant big men, and shaped his game accordingly and won three championships. He has played alongside one of the worst teams imaginable (Smush Parker, Luke Walton, Lamar Odom, Kwame Brown), and carried them on his shoulders to the playoffs and near playoff upsets. He has now adjusted his game to first turn Brynum from laughing stock to a legit All-Star, and now Gasol from forgotten cavemen to superstar playboy. He has never had the perfect team built for him like Paul has had, and yet…anyway you look at it he has been able to thrive and retain the tag as the world best player for the past half dozen years. You might be thinking to yourself now that past seasons shouldn’t be taken into consideration when deciding this year’s award – but we do it all the time (teams’ strengths, players’ abilities, expectations of them…they are all based on past seasons).

If you really watched the game cLose Weight Exercise/”>Lose Weight Exercisely on Friday night, and ignored what the commentators were saying, and what the stats said…you would have seen everything that I mentioned in the above paragraphs. The 17 assists by Paul were by no means all spectacular, he was not a factor on defense, his team didn’t suffer with him out, he didn’t have the ability to take over the game by himself down the stretch, and he really wasn’t feared as much as some of his teammates were. And yet, as everyone acknowledges, that was a typical CP3 game and he wasn’t far off his 100% self.

If you had put Paul on that team with Kwame, Parker, Walton, Odom….would he really be as good? Does Paul really have that amazing ability to put his stamp on the game no matter the circumstance? I’m not so convinced. As I watched Chris Paul on Friday night, and the near dozen times I have seen him before this season, I didn’t get that feeling that he was the best or most valuable player in basketball. Apart from several lightning quick coast to coast drives, and several neat passes, I couldn’t make out why this player was being billed as highly as he has been recently. Sure the stats dont lie, but do they tell the whole story? Does Stojakovic make those incredible three pointers in people’s faces just because the pass came from Paul? I just can’t see such a big gap of Paul compared to the average starting point guard (Rafer Alston) , than I see when I compare Kobe to the average starting shooting guard (Jamal Crawford).

You can say what you want but at the end of the day, Kobe is a better player than Paul and more deserving of the MVP award. We saw it on Friday, we saw it the 78 games before, and we saw it the past 3 seasons. Give the award to Paul if you wish, but come June…you will be thinking hard and long about what was so damn special about anyone not named Kobe Bryant.  

MVP Fallacies

Tuesday, March 18th, 2008

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I’ve read more than my fair share of MVP articles lately. In fact, I make it a habit to search ‘MVP’ on Google News couple of times per week and check out what the latest trend is (T-Mac seems to be the hot commodity right now). While usually there is a good point or two in these articles, there always seems to be at least one major fallacy that ends up destroying the validity of the argument. Today I will list the most common fallacies that people make when talking, writing, and thinking about the MVP race.

1) The word value in the Most Valuable Player title is very open to interpretation. Therefore not too much importance should be attached to it. Some people think value is measured by how much the situation would be changed without the ’object’ (use to be Kobe fans, now LeBron), others believe ‘valuable’ things must come from very respected sources (the Dirk Nowitzki connundrum). Being such a subjective word, this creates a real problem when people need to decide matters based on its definition. Therefore in the end, rather than assuming your definition of the world ‘valuable’ is what should be the basis for the MVP award, you should also explain why that interpretation of the word ‘valuable’ has more merit in the basketball context than any other.

2) There should definitely be a consistency to the MVP award. Therefore those that argue “Kobe deserved it couple of years ago, but just because a mistake was made in not giving him the MVP, doesn’t mean LeBron shouldn’t get it this year” are commiting a major reasoning fallacy. If the panel that picks the MVP award begin using different criterias for selecing their MVP every year, then the title will truely Lose Weight Exercise/”>Lose Weight Exercise credibility. So the argument that should be made is not that LeBron should be MVP. Instead the case should be made against why individuals who have the most impressive stats and whose team would suffer most without them – dont get MVP.

 3) There needs to be consistency in an MVP argument. You can’t argue that LeBron has a much more horrible team than Kobe’s, and then dismiss people who say the East is weak. If you want to compare teams then you should do it against teams in your own conference, or just suck up the fact that the East IS really weaker. Of course, LeBron’s MVP chances really fall when you compare a team like the Cavaliers and the 76ers and realize that there is only a 4 loss difference between them. 

4) Stats are flawed by nature, they should never be the main focus of an MVP discussion. Yes LeBron does average more assists per game but does that mean he’s a better passer? Not at all. It could be that LeBron’s teammates are more proficient at hitting open jumpers, it could mean that the L.A. team has a tendency to pass twice after a Kobe drive and dish to set up the perfect jumper, or it could perhaps mean the exactly opposite. At the end of the day, its not as strong an argument as it might look on paper.

5) When you compare a player on a very strong team to a player on an average team – you need to consider things besides wins. When a great team is winning and killing opponents, the importance of stats really goes down. If the Lakers are up 10 throughout the game and Kobe’s teammates are doing a good job, does that mean that Kobe should still try at all costs to get his stats? Absolutely not. A smart player, an MVP player, will realize that he should step up only when he needs to. Just because a bad team struggles alot and always needs its best player to play 100% it shouldn’t take away from a great player on a great team just having to be average for 50% of the time because that is what benefits his team most. Great players should not be punished for their team being succesful!

6) A team’s bad record without the player is not necessarily a good thing to mention in MVP arguements. The whole point of the MVP award has to do with how much value a player brought to his team. So if you sat out 25 games with a broken leg - thats on you as the franchise player, and the fact that the team went 0-25 without you is something you shouldn’t hold any responsibility for. Especially if the injury was something minor, then you should be accounted for every loss your team got.

7) The strength of a players team often comes into play when determining an MVP. As hard as it is valuing a single player, valuing  a whole team is that much harder – especially when you need to consider the team without its star player. Therefore no real evaluation is accurate enough to make a sound judgement on it. Can you definitely say the trio of West, Chandler, Stojakovic is worse than Odom, Gasol, Fisher? I wouldn’t be confident enough in making such a statement and relying on it to prove that what Paul has done is much more impressive than Kobe. In fact, the strength of a team without its best player is a very speculative area that should be left to crazy bloggers like me and not used to make MVP decisions.

Putting it all together

At the end of the day, it is clear that one single argument is not enough to decide the MVP. It cant be based solely on best team, best stats, best player even. It is a combination of all the little intricacies that make up a regular season in the NBA - but of course you knew that already. So the tough part is knowing how much to value each of the criterias. For me, Chris Paul and Kobe Bryant have accumulated amazing statistics and win percentages on a very tough conference with teams that in my oppinion are not so much worse than the likes of Cleveland – and my choice of MVP would go to the player that leads his team to the best record at the end of the season. Of course, in making this statement I have broken just about every rule I spent ages writing above….but then again thats the whole point, in the NBA MVP debate, no one is clear of slipping up.

 

NBA Mid-Season Thoughts

Monday, February 11th, 2008

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As I don’t have much time these days to post full blown posts about what’s going on around the league, I have come to resort to short bullet thoughts of what I find interesting in the NBA. Here was part 1, and today is part 2.

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1) “Rasheed Wallace replaces KG in the All-Star game”!? I didn’t see Rasheed being mentioned anywhere as an All-Star snub when the picks were originally made, so I was particularly bewildered at this decision by David Stern. With my man Hidayet Turkoglu having a truely worthy All-Star season statistically, being Mr. 4th quarter on so many occasions, and hitting more big shots than Kobe and LeBron combined…I must say I am really pissed off. Rasheed is averaging 13 and 7 and his team is only one spot ahead of Orlando. He has also let it be known that he doesn’t want to be an allstar and prefers to use the time to relax with his family. Hedo on the other hand has been dieing to get in. This is just straight unfair, and I don’t know what kinda games Stern is up to, but he really screwed up this time, his decision is unacceptable on so many levels. Put it shortly, Screw You Mr. David Stern.

2) I keep hearing how Boston is 16-0 against the West and as amazing as it sounds..it really isnt all that. Half of those games were against non-playoff bound teams. Not hating, just saying.

3) Respect to Kerr and the Suns organization for pulling off the move for Shaq. While they did have the best record in the West, it was clear they weren’t going to beat the Spurs or Lakers in a 7 game series. Shaq ironically gives them a better chance to beat the Lakers and the Spurs, but a lesser chance to win that championship. The way it is now without Marion (and let me just say Marion was one of the most underrated forwards in the league for a long time), I can easily see a first round exit to the likes of the Golden State Warriors.

4) Side note to all GM’s, coaches, and execs who we keep hearing whine about so and so trade that was really unfair:  Hey, don’t cry at the media when someone does a better job than you! While Popovich is out there crying about the Gasol trade, the Suns tried to do something about it rather than complain….Seriously, out of all people Popovich should keep his pimple face shut.

5)I said before the season started how the 82 game marathon was becoming boring and redundant, but clearly I didnt see the race in the West developping. Now THAT is how you fix the boredom of 82 games! It’s great to be a basketball fan now, as one loss by a western conference rival can actually have huge repercussions. Don’t expect Dallas to rest its stars this year, or Steve Nash having full massage sessions in the 4th quarter. The regular season now actually matters..yey for us!

6) A different kind of excitement is developping in the Eastern conference with at least two spots open to abysmal teams. Pretty much everyone except for the Miami Heat still has a shot.  Here’s what I actually said in my preseason predictions and I’m sticking to it:

10. Weaker teams in the East will have the dilemma of fighting for that 8th Playoff spot or getting a top 3 draft pick

Only a handful of games will separate the East’s bottom 8 team and GM’s will go by that long age instinct that rebuilding to get in the Playoffs in the future, is better than getting in the Playoffs now.

 

7) I personally hope the NBDL horse competition doesn’t see light in the NBA. I really can’t see how it won’t be Nate-Robinson-in-the-dunk-contest-painfully-cringing-to-watch bad. Unless of course you have Gilbert Arenas going off against LeBron James or something – then I can see how LeBron taking a freethrow, or Gilbert putting on his LeBron traveling impressions can be good fun.

 8) Speaking of the All-Star game which is expected to disappoint after crazy hype for the 1587th season in a row – a couple of easily applicable changes can turn the event into truely the most exciting weekend in all of sports. First off, like many people have already suggested, make the All-Star game into USA vs the World. Americans pick the American allstars, while all other votes decide the International Allstars (this rule might have to change if we start seeing more Chinese players in the NBA). As it is now, the Allstar selection process is clearly wrong, and keeps hurting players and fans. Also, a USA vs International match can truely be competitive, exciting, and meaningful – unlike its current state. In this age of globalization, NBA expansion internationally, and USA’s power becoming par with the rest of the world…this is a no brainer! Who really would be against this idea…Stern will have you believe its the average fan, but as an average (ok maybe slightly extreme fan) I tell you I want this.

9) Oh and since I’m making requests now on behalf of fans, let me assure you we would want to see 1vs1, 2vs2, 3vs3 little tournaments. 1vs1 tournaments would be strictly for light guards (Iverson, Rafer Alston, Nash, Chris Paul, Nate Robinson etc). 2vs2 and 3vs3 tournaments would require players to pick players outside their own team. So likely pairings will be friends (Carmelo and LeBron together), or family (T-Mac and Vince), or old college teammates (Arenas and Richard Jefferson). This will help players bond cLose Weight Exercise/”>Lose Weight Exerciser to each other, and can help create unexpected All-Star game rivalries. For example perhaps LeBron and Carmelo might seem  like the perfect two vs team but then veterans like Kobe and Kidd decide to team up one year to show them whos boss. Really, besides superstar egos getting upset, you can’t go wrong here.

10) Reason why there is never any clarification on what constitutes an All-Stars or MVP is simply because the ambiguity creates great conversations. If there was a strict pecking order of the requirements of an MVP, you wouldn’t have such involvement from fans and proffesional analysts, and people wouldn’t care as much. Ever wonder why All-Stars are much more highly talked about than All-NBA teams? In fact it should clearly be All-NBA teams that have more importance because they are decided at the end of the season and by a panel of the smartest in the business (or I would like to believe it to be so). So what I’m saying is ambiguity in rules, in outcomes, in matchups, in key decisions all works in favour of the NBA. While you might be upset that the Suns didn’t get to play at full strength versus the Spurs last year, or that Kobe and LeBron will probably never meet up in the playoffs…it is this kinda of what-ifs and uncertainty that feeds the minds of sports fans. So don’t expect a memo from the NBA anytime soon explaining what they believe constitutes an MVP.

11) Since we’re on the topic of MVPs, I might as well tune in with my mid-season pick. Most people agree that it should be either LBJ, KB, KG, or CP3. While I do believe CP3 is having a great season, for me it is the CPU that has proved to be the most valuable this year. Without my personal computer, I would never be able to follow the crazy race in the Wild Wild West, keep up with blockbuster trade news, or have access to those cant-live-without NBA rankings by the top analysts (you know the ones where self-acclaimed experts like John Hollinger put the Raptors ahead of the Suns). Imagine the Hornets without Chris Paul..ok now imagine the world without CPU. And besides, I’m pretty sure the CPU has better stats.

12) I have time and again let it be known how annoying I find stats, because they never tell you the whole story and often are blindly used in making key decisions. So when I hear about LeBron’s case for the MVP and hear that the Cavs went 0-6 without him this year, you know I go completely berserk. For me, that exact ’statistic’ is the reason why LeBron SHOULDN’T be MVP. He had a small jammed finger and admitted himself that if it was the Playoffs he would definitely play. Then you look at who their opponents actually were: Detroit, Toronto, Boston, New Jersey, Washington (you know, the 1st, 3rd, 5th, 6th, and 8th seeds in the East today) and you realize that those were games where Cleveland not only needed their so called MVP just to compete, but they must have been hugely let down by their star abandoning them. Kobe, similarly has had couple of injuries throughout this season including a recent dislocated finger but he goes out and competes no matter how succesful he is. And the way the West is looking, a 0-6 run without him might have cost them the season. But of course you wont find this kind of analysis on ESPN, because they might as well be married to the guy.

13)  About Kobe: be careful what you wish for. The Lakers have now become one of the favorites to win the championship, and with great responsibility comes great pressure. This time around, weak teammates, the strength of the West, and having to do it all on his own will no longer be acceptable excuses. It’s all or nothing. Either he’s the second coming of MJ or he’s simply a wanabe. I mentioned last time that these next couple of season will determine his legacy, but I never thought it would be this clear. It’s simply time to put up or shut up. It’s not everyday we get this clear black and white stories that shape sports history, but for the NBA the time is now. Grab some popcorn and enjoy the show.

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This is proving to be the most exciting NBA season in recent memory. There’s countless other things on my mind right now, but this year more than any other deserves its fans to actually watch the events rather than just read about them. I can tell you my personal thoughts but as I have said, there is no right or wrong anymore. Allstars, champions, MVPs – these have all become subjective opinions and no so-called authority has more of a valid oppinion than you do.

Go watch Chris Paul and Kevin Garnett with your own eyes and decide for yourself who’s sweat and tears means more for their team. Watch as the Suns and Lakers duel it out for that top spot in the Pacific Division and see for yourself who is the better team, who will likely be the champs.  

It’s truely a great day for the NBA when whether you’re a NBA exec, a proffesional writer, or a casual fan – you’re all equally excited at what you witness, and clueless to what happens.

Comparing Athletes Across Generations

Tuesday, January 8th, 2008

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Anyone seen Rocky Balboa, the (hopefully) final movie in the classic Rocky story played by Sylvester Stallone?It’s the one where the current generation boxing champion is pitted in a virtual match against longtime retired Rocky Balboa using a sophisticated program designed by ESPN (got to be Hollinger) to determine who is the best of all time. Well such a program is fictional but the idea is certainly not. Sports fans across the world evaluate players from different generations on a regular basis. Borg or Federrer? Wilt or Shaq? Cruyf or Zidane? The list is endless, and the amount of friendly chatter this creates amongst fans is perhaps unparalleled anywhere else. One common tendency is for the older generation to prefer the older players, while the current batch of youngsters naturally side with the stars they grew up watching. Who is essentially right we will never know, and that is the actual beauty of the debate, but that doesn’t mean we can’t analyze this issue deeper to get some answers.

Innovator vs Adopter

One major mistake we make when debating the ‘greatest of all time’, is we take irrelevant factors into account. Take the area of phones. When it was first invented in the late 19th century, it was a breakthrough for the ages. In fact, it still stands today as one of the most remarkable inventions of all time. The ‘telephone’ that Alexander Bell had invented could enable two people in two remote locations to communicate. In the 19th centure this was a huge deal! However, if we talk about phones today the phone created by Apple and Steve Jobs (the iPhone – for those who just got out of a comma)  is far superior to the phone that Bell had created. So if you were to compare which is the better of the two phones, you would no doubt have to give the edge to the iPhone over whatever kind of device Bell could put together. This doesn’t mean that Jobs is a greater man than Bell, God no, but it does serve to be a good point in our sports debate.

So when you strictly want to debate who is the best of all time, make sure the debate doesn’t shift to non-relevant items like being an innovator or being a pioneer etc. If you ask someone the best phone of all time, I’m sure they wont tell you it is the phonograph that Bell used! Of course, if your debating about things such as who is the most ‘dominant’ or ‘brilliant’ player/scientist of all time then the debate changes. It all depends whether you try to make it a relative debate, or a comprehensive one. The fact that Dr. J was the first player to use high-flying moves doesn’t in fact make him a better player than the current player who learned through him and copied his style.

Evolution through Competition

Sports, like any other ‘industry’ in the world is an ever changing landscape where competition, money, and time force everyone involved in the industry to constantly evolve and try to improve. Even in the most ancient of industries where companies have been forever trying to dominate is seeing forward progress on a regular changes. Did you think people couple of centuries ago could envision toilets that you can sit on, automatically cleans itself, and can even massage your butt? Today you think toilets are a done deal but let me assure you, 100 years from now people will look back at us the same way we look at prehistoric caveman that ‘did their stuff’ in the woods like animals.

So for something very modern such as Sports, there is bound to be alot of changes and progress over time! Forget for a second the more recent sports, and consider a ‘sport’ that has been around since the beginning of time. Running. Below is the 100m world record progression over the last century or so in which records have been kept.

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Yes even in such a basic sport that humans have been trying to perfect since days of animal hunting homo sapiens, there has been notable consistent progress. So if we take a more complex and new sport such as basketball, then naturally we can expect much changes and progress over time. Not only are players/coaches/trainers becoming more experienced by learning from everything in the past, but the technological aspects, the tactics and strategies, the physical evolution are all progressing at rapid speeds. Of course, lets not forget that sports has gone from the hobby of the rich to a billions of dollar per year industry. With every young kid practicing and training to be the next rich athlete, there is bound to be a general level of progress in top proffesional leagues around the world (this old article I wrote, explains this further). 

50 years ago there wasn’t a single player with the physical gifts that someone such as LeBron James possessed when he came out of highschool! So while Bob Cousy remains a legendary basketball guard, and will continue to be looked up to by people throughout the ages - no one should argue that he is better than a current player today such as Stephon Marbury. The strength, speed, explosiveness, dribbling skills, moves, shooting range – all these are largely in favour of Stephon Marbury (current day laughingstock) over the clear cut basketball legend that is Bob Cousy. What this proves is that comparing players across time is simply unfair. What you do with what you got and what is around you is what SHOULD be the comparison we make. However, most often the debate is who is the best of all time and in such a debate, you need to take out the subjects from their respective environments and pit them straight up against each other.

The Past isn’t Forgotten

With all of that said, it doesn’t mean the greats of past times will inevitably be replaced by greater people in the near future. Look at Einstein, Da Vinci, Mozart, Ali, Shakespeare…these are all people that have stood the test of time and continue to not only be relevant but still stand as leaders in their respective fields – they came, they saw, they conquered. Perhaps they deserve even more credit for this achievement because if they accomplished all that they did in past times, imagine what they could do now with all the progress and better conditions that are available. Even if  past greats are ‘beaten’, they should and definitely do hold a special place in people’s minds. Everyone recognizes the fact that their respective colleagues before them are the reason why they are the way they are today. So perhaps one interesting dynamic that can be brought into the ‘best of all time’ debates that helps past players stand taller against the test of time, is that they should be given credit for the reason why the current player is better than him. So while Kobe is better than Dr. J today, it is only because Dr. J existed that Kobe is in fact better…. This is a rather counter-intuitive concept, yet it definitely can hold ground for you old timers out there who are resilient on giving up on the past. Whoever the winner of old versus young, past versus present – it is all of us who win in the end because everything is constantly changing (whether for better or for worse) and this makes life so much more interesting. Oh yea, and us young folks get to have something to chat about with our grandfathers!   

  

  

Just Details

Tuesday, December 4th, 2007

Major announcement: the Predictions section got discontinued indefinitely for ‘undisclosable reasons’. Let’s just say that my rivalry with Reignman over at djod.co.uk got out of hand and the quality of my predictions suffered as a result. Perhaps one day I will find it in myself to resume my quest to beat Vegas.In its place will be a non-basketball section where I’ll post, wait for it….anything non basketball related! I know its a small area to work with, but I’m my sure I’ll come up with something. It is widely acknowledged that basketball is life and the rest is just details – but someone needs to pay attention to the details too right.

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21 Thoughts

Monday, December 3rd, 2007

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(photo by www.joelkimmel.com)

We are already 1/5th of the way into the season and there are so many things to talk about and think about. Here are 21 NBA thoughts that have occupied my brain recently.

  

1 – It seems like the number 1 unwritten rule of every NBA team is to immediately rush over to your teammate when they’ve fallen to the floor and help them back up. This makes every bit of sense as you want to show support for your teammate who has just sacrificed his body to take a charge, but you see young players follow this rule as if their life depended on it. In fact I was thinking about this during a recent game, and was trying to think of the last time a player fell down on the floor and actually got up by himself. Well, funnily enough, I saw it at least twice that game with the Los Angeles Lakers…but then again they aren’t exactly the model team in terms of camaraderie.

 

2 – Watching the Golden State Warriors destroy the Suns in the run ‘n gun game was a pleasure to watch. 47 points in the first quarter! I think the Knicks could use a dose of whatever they smoking in Oakland. D’Antoni even became desperate enough to try to go‘big’ with Skinner and Amare at one point which proved, in my book, that The Don is the true king of chaos basketball.

 

3 – The Don also managed to ridicule Yao Ming and Rockets coach Rick Adelman several nights later. At one point in the game, Yao was starting to dominate the paint, and even the Warriors’ big man Bierdins couldn’t do anything about it. Nelson’s response? Take out his center Bierdins and replace him with guard/forward Matt Barnes who is one full feet smaller than Yao. It worked out great as Yao had no shot of keeping up with any of the Warriors players which led to open three pointers. Moments later Yao was taken out. Nelson’s response? Put Bierdins back in. Nelson 100000, Adelman 0. 

 

4 – The Orlando Magic will most likely have the 2nd best record in the East going into All-Star weekend, which begs the questions who will be the 2nd All-Star chosen from the team…if any? You certainly can’t choose Orlando’s summer signing Rashard Lewis despite his max contract since Hidayet Turkoglu has been outplaying him in every aspect. We shall see how objective the coaches can stay when selecting All-Star reserves, and whether they will give the pass to a better known and certainly better paid player rather than the more deserving one.

 

5 – Say what you want about how great LeBron is playing despite his lack of support, but I still think he might be on one of the most underrated teams in NBA history. His team, perhaps lacking in flair and household names, is in fact the perfect team for a superstar. You have Ilgauskus which is a legit top 5 center who will not only do everything you want on the defensive end but can also hit open mid range jumpshots. Drew Gooden is a hard working power forward who’s also effective from mid-range, and can also chase offensive rebounds as effectively as Rodman chases…skirts. Hughes, Pavlovic, and Gibson can hold their own defensively while being able to make the most out of the opportunities that come with having a superstar (open looks, taking advantage of ball rotation when LeBron is double teamed etc). The Lakers, on the other hand, look very fragile on the defensive end at times, and they aren’t as efficient in taking advantage of having a constant double team demanding superstar (they seem to watch Kobe do his thing often rather than make cuts or move without the ball). I’d trade Lamar Odom for Drew Gooden in a heartbeat or three.

 

6 – The New York Knicks continue to entertain anyone not remotely associated with them. Most entertaining this week for me was seeing the last few seconds of the Milwaukee game. New York were up 1, and Michael Redd missed a shot in the final seconds to take the lead. Fred Jones got the rebound sprinted to the other side of the floor and found himself all alone near the Milwaukee basket with a couple of seconds left. All he had to do was just stand there and the game would be theirs. Instead, he went full speed and emphatically dunked the ball as if to reminisce his days as a slam dunk champion. Isiah Thomas was celebrating like a coach would when they win the championship, and completely oblivious to the fact that what his player did was incredibly stupid. The Bucks had 0.4 seconds to send the game into overtime, but let’s just say the Knicks should be happy Milwaukee didn’t have a Derek Fisher that night, because that low IQ move by Fred Jones could have easily cost them. It might be a little thing, but its those sort of small details that show who’s a good coach, who’s a smart player, and which teams will win if two teams are equally skilled.

 

7 – Speaking of low IQ. Go back a couple days to the Boston vs Charlotte game. Charlotte up 2, ball in hand, 4 seconds left, at home, about to defeat the hottest team in the NBA…and they throw the ball away and Jesus Shuttlesworth makes them pay with an off balance triple at the buzzer. The Bobcats did their part-owner and VP of Basketball Operations Michael Jordan real proud. If you look up Michael Jordan in the antonym section of a thesaurus, you’d get a YouTube video of those exact 4 seconds.

 

8 – There seems to be a trend where if things aren’t working out for a team, the remedy is to send one or more of your star players to the bench. Barbosa and Ginobili have been used as such for years now and this year the cases are increasingly exponentially. We have seen Terry relegated to the bench in Dallas, and recently Miami has used Ricky Davis and Jason Williams to bring some energy off the bench. It all seems to be working which leads to the question – has the age old undeniable fact that ‘the starting 5 should be your best players’, come to an end?

 

9 – Phil Jackson seems to have another philosophy whereby he has two complete teams that he uses. This was a big nono a couple of years back as anyone involved in coaching would tell you that you can’t just have 5 fresh players come in at the same time. However, PJ’s method seems to be working as the Lakers bench has improved tremendously compared to earlier years. I guess without the Black Mamba, they feel more sense of responsibility and even act like a team of their own.

 

10 – Rumor had it that the East would get stronger this year, and would be on the way to closing the gap it had with the Western Conference. 16 games in, it seems like the opposite has happened. There is no Eastern Conference team that anyone in the West fears outside of Boston, Orlando, and Detroit. The East in fact has 4 teams above .500, while out in the West the Houston Rockets would fail to make the playoffs if the season ended today (they stand at .500). We’ve all heard about the NBA’s ambitions to expand outside of the US..but before global expansion, shouldn’t there be order at home?

 

11 – Wow, did anyone else see Emeka Okafor block The Big Aristotle back a couple of millennium?

 

12 – I’ve always said Dwayne Wade was hugely overrated. Yes, he somehow carried his team to a championship so whatever he does will forever overshadow what he wont be able to do. However, let me just say that I think the league has seen all that Wade can do and has adjusted accordingly. Simply put all Wade does is use his first step to blow by defenders and tries to draw contact or finish with some circus shot. His midrange shot is ‘average’ at best, and his three point shot is ‘bad’ at best. He isn’t the best passer so he can’t really run the point, and when his shot is not falling in response to the defense backing up, he’s completely ineffective. In the international stage, we’ve already seen how useless he is and he should definitely not be heading to Beijing this summer unless its for an early holiday post regular season.

 

13 – I’ve had the opportunity to see Steve Francis play recently and somehow he always seems to end up on the floor in pain after what looks to be a failure of his muscles to obey his brain. Gone is the flashy, always a pleasure to watch, and the silky smooth game we have grown accustomed to seeing and ‘in’ is this scrappy streetball player who seems to just be back to playing sports after a 5 year absence. Rafer and Steve would do all of us a favour if they played at the Rucker rather than spend their talent post-feeding Chairman Yao.

 

14 – I had Phoenix to win it all this year, but now I’m not sure. It seems they are lacking…dare I say…outside shooting! In the past they had Quentin Richardson, Joe Johnson, Eddie House, Tim Thomas, James Jones, but now Raja is the only one in the starting 5 that Steve “Turnover” Nash will be happy to pass to beyond the 3 point line. I’ve seen Eric Piatowski exclusively on the bench, and have yet to find out whether he’s a hired shooting coach or an actual player.

 

15 – AK 47 was straight killer on the boxscore the other day when he posted a triple double and came cLose Weight Exercise/”>Lose Weight Exercise to his second 5×5 and a never before seen quintuple (?) double with a line of: 20 points, 11 rebounds, 11 assists, 6 steals, 4 blocks, 0 turnovers. Ironically it was, in Boston coach Doc Rivers’ words, ‘the best defender in the league today’ (KB24) that was guarding him when this all happened. Similar to a snooker player getting a 147 break, or a bowling player bowling a perfect 300, I think any player to record a quintuple double should be awarded by the NBA a large sum of money, lets say a 100,000 dollars.. The NBA has fined players and coaches for that sort of amount in the past so why not do the opposite as well?   

 

16 – If Yi Jianlin makes the All-Star starters this year, the NBA needs to seriously reconsider its democratic voting system. The People’s Republic of China is Communist for a reason, it can’t possibly let its people decide important decisions yet! So if China doesn’t let its own citizens decide why should the NBA? One idea is to set voting ‘multipliers’ for each country, and hence the number of votes is adjusted for China’s large population. Another idea is to go Commie on our asses and limit the options of who you can vote for and just have a ballot with those that actually deserve to be an All-Star.

 

17 – A lot of people were questioning whether Boston could be successful with just three players this year – not me. My belief has always been that NBA players can be separated into 4 different echelons: superstar, star, smart veterans/role players, and the rest. Boston had acquired the most difficult parts with 1 superstar, and 2 stars. Side Note: For me, superstar means that the player single handedly gives a team championship hope, so this means: Duncan, Kobe, KG, Nowitzki, LeBron, Nash, and Dwight Howard. Veterans are easier to acquire, especially if your team has a shot at a championship then you can contract them as easily as NBA players contract syphilis. So all Boston had to do was find 4th echelon players who I believe are numerous and widespread. You can find some in the NBDL, some in Europe and in other international leagues, and there’s always the catalogue of players who get shopped around season to season like shares of Microsoft. For example an Austin Croshere in Golden State, or a Brian Skinner in Phoenix, or a Francisco Elson in San Antonio – these are all decent players that can fill the last remaining spots on your team and still be useful. Therefore I don’t believe that gutting your team to get superstars and stars in the NBA is such a bad thing. That is why I still think someone out there should make a push for Kobe and why I was scoffing anyone who thought Boston wouldn’t be good this year. 

 

18 – The number of great NBA point guards has reached an all time high. Commentators have already used every single adjective known in the English language to praise the likes of Steve Nash and Jason Kidd. Chris Paul and Deron Williams are having outstanding seasons as well and have captured all the headlines this season. Even Baron Davis is getting MVP talk in some areas of the country (probably mostly in California, but still..). Two point guards that the media seems to have forgotten about is the only two current point guards with NBA Finals MVP’s….Yea, Tony Parker and Chauncey Billups – they are still alive you know? Parker is averaging 20points 7assists 4 rebounds on 52% from the field leading his team to the best record in the West, while Chauncey is averaging 17points, 8 assists, 3 rebounds and is 3rd in the East behind impressive starts from Boston and Orlando. While I don’t deny Nash and Kidd’s abilities as team leaders, I have to say that Parker and Billups are the ones who got the job done. I see no reason why these players who have taken their team to the Finals multiple times don’t deserve AT LEAST as much credit as the likes of Nash and Kidd.

 

19 – New York, Chicago, and Miami have the three worst record in the abysmal Eastern Conference. Somewhere, David Stern is sending a memo to his referees highlighting discreetly the importance of big market teams to the NBA. Out West, Seattle and Portland are also in the bottom 3 of the conference. Somewhere, David Stern is sending a memo to the Seattle and Portland team owners that they can relocate if they wish.

 

20 – I’ve already mentioned my admiration of the run ‘n gun style of play, but I would actually like to see more styles of play being played by NBA teams. Especially those teams who are locked in for a lottery finish should definitely try to innovate. How about a team with a 6’7 backcourt and 7 footers in the front court. All the players should be able to hit threes, and as a result every time down the floor there will be a mismatch, followed by a double team, kick out to three point land for a wide open three. There will also be more offensive rebounds due the height of the players, and on defense they can play a zone that can be particularly effective in hindering opponents with their long reach and command of the defensive rebounds. You can even go all 7 footers if you wish as follows: Hedo Turkoglu at point, Rashard Lewis at the two, Al Harrington at the three, Jamison at the four, and Bargniani at the 5. This would be the opposite of small ball, but can be even more effective.

 

21 – My final thought is that this is the time for almost all the top players in basketball to define who they truly are. Kobe will have a chance to become a legend if he leads his Lakers far enough, a cry baby if doesnt. LeBron is in the process of defining what sort of legacy he will leave behind. Kevin Garnett has got a final chance to prove whether he’s top 5 or top 50 of all time. Tim Duncan can be the most dominating player ever with another title. Wade will either take back his place of best young player or hide into obscurity. Carmelo and AI have a chance together to finally take center stage after years of playing second or third fiddle. Steve Nash can either lead his team to the promise land or it might be the end of the running style of basketball. The Detroit and Dallas ‘Dynasties’ can end with a bang or bust. In short there are lots of basketball stories that are being decided as we speak, and this season especially will be full of revelations.